iown.si: a chronicle of artificial intelligence, 1943 to now
Plate 0
The Question
1943–1955
Before the field had a name, it had a question.
I propose to consider the question, ‘Can machines think?’Iproposetoconsiderthequestion,‘Canmachinesthink?’
In 1943 a neurophysiologist and a logician described neurons as switches that compute. Seven years later Alan Turing replaced the unanswerable “can machines think?” with a game anyone could play.
The machines of the decade were rooms of glowing valves. The first “bug” was a moth taped into a logbook. Everything after this begins at a desk, at night, with a blank sheet.
can machines think?
Research
McCulloch & Pitts model the neuron as logic
Warren McCulloch and Walter Pitts publish “A Logical Calculus of the Ideas Immanent in Nervous Activity”, describing networks of idealised threshold neurons that can compute logical functions.
Claude Shannon builds Theseus, a magnetic mouse that learns its way through a reconfigurable maze using relay memory, one of the first learning machines.
Alan Turing’s “Computing Machinery and Intelligence” proposes the imitation game, replacing the question “can machines think?” with a behavioural test.
“I propose to consider the question, ‘Can machines think?’”
A summer workshop names the field and promises to finish it quickly.
The 1955 Dartmouth proposal coined “artificial intelligence” and guessed that a carefully selected group could make significant progress in a summer. Programs proved theorems, played checkers, and parsed English inside tiny worlds of blocks.
Optimism was the era’s fuel. Perceptrons learned to see simple shapes, ELIZA made people confide in a script, and a robot named Shakey planned its way across a room. Predictions ran ahead of the machines.
3–8 years?IF … THEN …
Research
“Artificial intelligence” is coined
John McCarthy, Marvin Minsky, Nathaniel Rochester and Claude Shannon propose a summer research project on “artificial intelligence”, the first use of the term.
Allen Newell, Herbert Simon and Cliff Shaw’s Logic Theorist proves theorems from Principia Mathematica, sometimes finding shorter proofs than the original.
About two dozen researchers gather at Dartmouth College over the summer of 1956. The workshop is usually treated as the founding event of AI as a field.
The US Navy demonstrates Frank Rosenblatt’s perceptron; The New York Times calls it the “embryo of an electronic computer” expected to walk, talk and see.
I. J. Good argues that an ultraintelligent machine could design even better machines, triggering an “intelligence explosion”.
“The first ultraintelligent machine is the last invention that man need ever make, provided that the machine is docile enough to tell us how to keep it under control.”
Promises meet the combinatorial explosion, and the money freezes.
In 1973 the Lighthill Report told the British government that AI had failed to deliver on its grand claims, citing the “combinatorial explosion”. Funding in the UK and US contracted sharply.
Work did not stop; it got quiet. The bare branches of the symbolic tree waited for a thaw that came from an unexpected direction: business.
combinatorial explosion
Policy
The Lighthill Report
James Lighthill’s report to the UK Science Research Council criticises AI’s failure to meet its promises. UK funding is cut, marking the start of the first AI winter.
Knowledge, written down as rules, becomes a product.
Expert systems captured specialists’ judgement as thousands of IF–THEN rules. XCON configured computer orders at DEC; Japan launched its Fifth Generation project; a market grew for specialised LISP workstations.
Meanwhile a quieter 1986 paper popularised backpropagation for training neural networks. It would take twenty years and far more data and compute for that seed to grow.
IF fever AND gram-positive THEN …
Company & funding
XCON goes to work at DEC
Digital Equipment Corporation deploys the R1/XCON expert system to configure computer orders, reportedly saving millions of dollars a year and sparking an expert-systems boom.
Japan’s Ministry of International Trade and Industry launches the Fifth Generation Computer Systems project, prompting rival programmes in the US and UK.
Rumelhart, Hinton and Williams publish “Learning representations by back-propagating errors” in Nature, showing how multi-layer networks can learn internal representations.
The LISP machine market collapsed in 1987 and “AI” became a word to avoid in grant proposals. Researchers rebranded as statistics, pattern recognition and machine learning.
In the dark, durable ideas matured: convolutional networks read handwritten zip codes, LSTMs learned to remember, support vector machines and Bayesian networks became standard tools, and Deep Blue beat the world chess champion in 1997.
the field is not dead
Research
A neural network reads zip codes
Yann LeCun and colleagues train a convolutional network with backpropagation to read handwritten zip codes, later used to process cheques.
IBM’s Deep Blue wins the deciding sixth game of a rematch against world chess champion Garry Kasparov, the first match win by a computer over a reigning champion.
Deep belief nets in 2006 revived interest in many-layered networks. ImageNet supplied millions of labelled images; in 2012 AlexNet, trained on two gaming GPUs, cut the error rate so sharply that computer vision changed overnight.
Within four years neural networks were translating, generating faces that never existed and, in March 2016, playing a move at Go that professional commentators first took for a mistake.
it just works?move 37
Research
Deep belief nets revive deep learning
Geoffrey Hinton, Simon Osindero and Yee-Whye Teh show a fast way to train many-layered networks layer by layer, reviving interest in “deep learning”.
Fei-Fei Li’s team presents ImageNet at CVPR 2009, a database that grows to over 14 million labelled images and anchors the annual recognition challenge.
Alex Krizhevsky, Ilya Sutskever and Geoffrey Hinton’s convolutional network, trained on two GPUs, wins ILSVRC 2012 with a top-5 error of about 15.3%, far ahead of the runner-up.
One architecture learns to weigh every word against every other.
The 2017 transformer replaced recurrence with attention, and it scaled. BERT read, GPT-2 and GPT-3 wrote, and scaling laws suggested that bigger would keep being better.
The same machinery folded proteins (AlphaFold 2) and turned text into images (DALL·E, Stable Diffusion). The loom was ready to weave conversation.
attention is all you need
Research
Attention Is All You Need
Vaswani and colleagues at Google introduce the Transformer, an architecture built entirely on attention, which becomes the basis of modern language models.
A chat box reaches a hundred million people, and everyone has an opinion.
ChatGPT launched on 30 November 2022 as a “research preview”. Within months GPT-4, Claude and Gemini followed, open-weight models spread, and the world argued about pauses, extinction risk and copyright.
It was loud: open letters, a boardroom crisis at OpenAI, the first AI safety summit, the EU AI Act, and Nobel prizes for neural networks and protein structure.
you have not been a good user
Product
ChatGPT launches
OpenAI releases ChatGPT as a free “research preview”. It reportedly reaches a million users in five days.
A Future of Life Institute open letter calls for a six-month pause on training systems more powerful than GPT-4. Signatories include Yoshua Bengio and Elon Musk.
Hundreds of researchers and executives sign a one-sentence statement saying that mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority.
Reasoning models learned to think before answering. Agents operated desktops and browsers, a protocol let them plug into tools, and coding assistants began shipping software.
Capital followed: data-center projects measured in hundreds of billions, and a new word in company names: superintelligence.
vibe codinghow many r’s in strawberry?
Company & funding, Safety
Safe Superintelligence Inc.
Ilya Sutskever, Daniel Gross and Daniel Levy found SSI, “the world’s first straight-shot SSI lab”. It is the first major lab named for superintelligence.
The Physics prize goes to John Hopfield and Geoffrey Hinton for neural networks; the next day the Chemistry prize goes to David Baker, Demis Hassabis and John Jumper for protein design and structure prediction.
Chinese lab DeepSeek releases an open-weight reasoning model reportedly trained at a fraction of rivals’ cost; on 27 January Nvidia shares fall sharply.
A statement hosted by the Future of Life Institute calls for a prohibition on developing superintelligence until there is broad scientific consensus it can be done safely and strong public buy-in.
Labs declare new eras; a government renames the technology.
Labs restricted their most capable models to vetted partners for security work, governments briefly blocked and then restored access, and one company declared “the AGI era”.
On 29 September 2026 a US executive order told federal agencies to say “Super Intelligence (SI)” instead of “Artificial Intelligence (AI)”. A word coined for minds far beyond ours became a label for today’s software.
AI → SI
Company & funding
Microsoft’s superintelligence team
Mustafa Suleyman forms the MAI Superintelligence Team at Microsoft, framing its goal as “humanist superintelligence”, starting with medical diagnosis.
A US executive order directs federal agencies to use “Super Intelligence (SI)” instead of “Artificial Intelligence (AI)” in non-statutory communications. The relabel applies to the existing legal definition of AI, not to the research meaning of superintelligence.